Weibull Distribution
Definition
A continuous probability distribution widely used in reliability engineering to model the time-to-failure of components and systems. The two-parameter Weibull distribution is defined by the shape parameter (beta) and scale parameter (eta). Its versatility lies in its ability to model increasing, constant, or decreasing failure rates depending on the shape parameter value, making it suitable for all phases of the bathtub curve.
Context
The primary statistical distribution used in Reliatic's reliability analytics. The Weibull analysis page allows engineers to fit failure data to Weibull distributions, estimate parameters, and project future failure probabilities. Weibull analysis enables data-driven maintenance interval optimization by predicting when failures are most likely to occur.
Formula
f(t) = (beta/eta) * (t/eta)^(beta-1) * e^(-(t/eta)^beta); R(t) = e^(-(t/eta)^beta)
Examples
- Weibull analysis of 30 pump bearing failures yields beta=2.1, eta=18,000 hours, indicating wear-out behavior (increasing failure rate) with a characteristic life of 18,000 hours.
- A Weibull plot of motor winding failures shows beta=0.7, indicating infant mortality — the failure rate decreases over time, suggesting a quality issue in manufacturing or installation.
Applicable Standards
- IEC 61649:2008
- ISO 14224:2016
Related Terms
The Weibull shape parameter (beta, also written as b or k) that determines the form of the failure distribution and the nature of the failure rate over time. Beta < 1 indicates decreasing failure rate (infant mortality); beta = 1 indicates constant failure rate (random failures, equivalent to exponential distribution); beta > 1 indicates increasing failure rate (wear-out). The value of beta reveals the physics of the dominant failure mechanism.
Scale Parameter (Eta)(Eta)The Weibull scale parameter (eta, also called characteristic life) that represents the time by which 63.2% of the population is expected to have failed. Eta defines the horizontal scale of the Weibull distribution and is always expressed in the same units as the failure time data (hours, cycles, km). At t = eta, the reliability R(t) = e^(-1) = 0.368, regardless of the shape parameter.
B-LifeThe time by which a specified percentage of a population is expected to have failed, derived from the Weibull distribution parameters. B10 life is the time by which 10% of the population has failed (90% survival); B50 is median life (50% survival); B90 is the time by which 90% have failed. B-life values are used to set preventive replacement intervals and warranty periods.
Bathtub CurveA graph of the hazard rate versus time that describes the typical life cycle of a population of items, characterized by three distinct phases: (1) Infant Mortality — a decreasing failure rate period caused by manufacturing defects, installation errors, or design weaknesses; (2) Useful Life — a period of approximately constant, low failure rate representing random failures; (3) Wear-Out — an increasing failure rate period caused by age-related degradation mechanisms.
Hazard RateThe instantaneous rate of failure at time t, given that the item has survived to time t. Hazard rate (also called the instantaneous failure rate or hazard function) describes how the risk of failure changes over the item's life. Unlike failure rate (which is an average), hazard rate is a time-dependent function that captures the changing nature of failure risk as equipment ages.
ReliabilityThe probability that an item will perform its required function under stated conditions for a specified period of time. Reliability is a quantitative measure expressed as a probability (0 to 1) or percentage. It is a function of the failure rate and time: for constant failure rate systems, R(t) = e^(-lambda*t). Higher reliability means lower probability of failure over the same period.
Where this appears in Reliatic
This concept is used in the Reliability Analytics module.